Emerging markets still offer great opportunities

11 September 2012

Long-term investors would be foolish to turn their backs against emerging markets despite the sector's two-year blip, according to Legal & General Investment Management.

Lars Kreckel, global equity strategist at Legal & General IM, says recent underperformance should not deter investors as emerging markets still offer great opportunities for, in particular, long-term investors.

"After two successive years of relatively poor performance, increased doubts surrounding emerging markets are understandable.

"In the long term, however, to disregard an allocation to emerging markets would be at the investor's peril as the drivers for growth remain in place," he warns.

Four reasons for confidence

There are four reasons emerging markets will deliver, says Kreckel.

GDP growth prospects in emerging markets will continue to beat developed countries; the risk associated with emerging market investments is in decline and the overall growth prospects of emerging economies remain compelling.

In addition, emerging markets continue to be under-represented in global benchmarks and portfolios, Kreckel says.

"Emerging markets contributed about 39% of global GDP in 2011, yet represent only about 14% of the MSCI World index. Yet many investors remain under-invested even against this low weighing, and in the long term, we see pressure on investors to increase emerging market allocations."

L&G IM expects the disappointing two-year period for emerging markets to come to an end in the fourth quarter of 2012, when we will "start to see a modest improvement".

Agreeing with Kreckel, Patrick Connolly, a certified financial planner at AWD Chase de Vere, says the emerging markets will rebound "at some point".

"Emerging markets has suffered in recent times but it's mainly due to general market sentiments. In uncertain times when investors are nervous it's always the riskiest areas that suffer the most," he says.

Echoing Kreckel's sentiment, Connolly adds the worst thing investors could do is to "pull their money of this sector" and says investors should continue to have "some exposure" to emerging markets as it remains a long-term investment opportunity.

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