Personal insolvencies predicted to hit 10,000 a month in 2008

2 January 2008

An estimated 10,000 people will declare themselves insolvent every month this year with at least of third of those between now and March hastened by excessive Christmas spending.

That's the warning from personal insolvency practice Grant Thornton which predicts a total of 120,000 people will become insolvent in 2008. Alarmingly, a third of the 28,000 insolvencies forecast for the first three months of the year will be brought on by overspending at Christmas.

In 2006, a record 100,000 individual declared themselves insolvent and in 2007 this increased to an estimated 110,000.

Mike Gerrard, head of Grant Thornton's personal insolvency practice, says: "Sadly, many individuals spend on credit at Christmas and pay no heed to the financial warning bells. Come January, they find themselves in a situation where previous financial woes are compounded by the bills arriving from the festive season and in these situations insolvency becomes the only way out."

The housing market slowdown and tightening of mortgage lending are also expected to exuberate the situation. Despite the Bank of England cutting interest rates in December, the payment shock facing around 1.4 million mortgage borrowers coming off low, fixed rates in 2008 is expected to be one factor in the continuing increase in personal insolvencies.

In addition the increase in the cost of living could be another factor taking its toll on individuals whose finances are already stretched to their limit.

Gerrard says: "In only 12 months the cost of filling up a vehicle with unleaded petrol has increased by 16% which means Joe Public is now having to find an additional £155 this year to fill up the car.

“Coupled with rapidly increasing gas and electricity prices and it's easy to see how those already struggling to pay off credit, particularly those servicing mortgages, are caving in to the pressure."

Britons are currently paying a staggering £93 billion in interest on loans, credit cards, overdrafts and mortgages with total personal debt totalling £1.39 trillion, according to Credit Action.

And a survey by found that 9.5 million people have maxed out on one form of credit in the last six months.

Mike Naylor, personal finance expert at, says consumers who consolidate all their debts could save £15 billion in interest. For the average household this is a saving of £605 over three years.

Naylor adds: “People have enjoyed easy access to cheap credit for quite some time, but for some, the party really could be over. Anyone with multiple debts and a poor credit history could be vulnerable to the impact of the credit crunch and should seriously consider consolidation while the option is still available.”

Terry Balfour, director of IVA comparison website, also predicts a rise in insolvencies as debt consolidation lenders get tougher on criteria in light of the credit crunch.

Balfour says that borrowers who have been turned down for a consolidation loan may have to either declare themselves bankrupt or, if they have around £180 disposable income a month, consider an IVA.

He adds: “Paying interest to several lenders on credit cards, store cards and loans is incredibly expensive so consolidating the debt into one loan is a good move – but the lending and spending boom is coming to an end and this is no longer the easy option.”

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